Frequently asked questions

HivePredict is a parimutuel prediction market platform on the Hive blockchain. Users stake HIVE, HBD or Hive Engine tokens on the outcome of real-world events such as crypto prices and sports results, and the winning side splits the pool. Every market, prediction, resolution and payout is recorded on-chain, so all activity is publicly auditable.

There are no bookmakers and no fixed odds. All stakes on a market go into one shared pool, and the split between outcomes sets the implied probability. If 75% of the pool sits on YES, the implied probability of YES is 75%. Your payout depends on the final pool composition when the market resolves, not the odds at the moment you bet.

You need a Hive blockchain account, not a HivePredict account. Sign in with Hive Keychain or HiveSigner and you are ready to go. Browsing markets, odds and results requires no login at all. If you are new to Hive, the account setup guide walks through creating an account.

Markets are denominated in HIVE, HBD or a supported Hive Engine token (such as LEO or SPS). Each market uses a single token chosen by its creator. Built-in dSwap integration lets you swap HIVE to the required token during the betting flow if you do not hold it.

When a market resolves, winners first receive their full stake back, then split the losing side's pool in proportion to their stake. A 3% platform fee is taken from the losing pool only, so the fee can never eat into your principal. If you win, your payout is sent automatically to your Hive account. The full formula is in the payout docs.

Your dashboard has an invite link. When someone opens it and places their first bet, you are recorded as their referrer on-chain. For 90 days after that first bet, you and your friend each get 25% of the 3% settlement fee attributable to their stake in every market that resolves. It comes out of the platform's share, so nobody pays extra. Only the first bet can set a referrer, you cannot refer yourself, and voided or cancelled markets pay nothing because they charge no fee. The details are in the fees docs.

No. Your maximum loss is the amount you staked. There is no leverage, no margin and no negative balance. If your outcome wins, you always receive at least your original stake back.

Price markets resolve automatically against CoinGecko and Yahoo Finance data, and supported sports leagues resolve automatically via The Odds API. Other markets are resolved manually: the creator and community submit proof with sources, users vote on it, and an admin finalises the outcome. If the evidence backs more than one outcome, resolution is held for 48 hours after the latest proof (or the resolution time, if later) so both sides can be reviewed. Every resolution is broadcast on-chain with the evidence attached, so you can verify it independently.

Markets that cannot be resolved fairly are voided and every participant is refunded their full stake. The same applies to markets that never attract enough participants: they are automatically voided at their closing time and all stakes are returned.

Auto-resolved markets support cash-out while betting is open, letting you take back part of your stake before the outcome is known. A small time-based penalty applies, and the details are in the cash-out docs. Manually resolved markets hold your stake until resolution, since their real-world result can be known before betting closes.

Any eligible Hive account can create a market: pick a clear question, a token, a category, closing and resolution times, and place an opening bet on your predicted side. There is no creation fee: the opening bet is your own stake in the market. Market creators earn commission on their markets: 1% of the final pool for holding a balanced stake on every outcome at resolution, rising to 1.5% once three of their other resolved markets each pooled 250 HIVE or HBD or more. See creating markets for the full walkthrough.

When you are signed in, the bell in the header lists your payouts, resolved markets, proof requests on your markets, bets closing within 24 hours, and new markets from creators you follow. HivePredict also replies on Hive with an @mention when you win, when your market resolves or needs more proof, once a day for bets closing soon, and once a day for new markets from creators you follow, with at most four of these comments in 24 hours. You can turn the Hive comments off in safety settings. The bell works the same either way.

The Hive blockchain is the source of truth. Bets are transfers to the platform account paired with signed custom_json operations, all public and permanent. The backend indexes the chain rather than keeping private ledgers, so pools, resolutions and payouts can be audited by anyone from the raw blockchain data. Per-market stake caps and account eligibility rules also limit manipulation by whales and sybil accounts.

You can set voluntary monthly spending limits for HIVE and HBD markets, take cooldown breaks, or self-exclude for a period (or permanently). Self-exclusion is enforced on-chain and cannot be reversed early. These controls live in safety settings.

A monthly competition for one league. You pay a flat 25 HIVE entry before the first fixture of the month, pick the winner of every game, and score a point per correct tip. After the platform fee the pool splits 50 / 30 / 20 to the top three, ties share their places, and last place gets the wooden spoon badge. Fewer than five entrants and everyone is refunded. See the current competitions or the tipping guide.