Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
This market will resolve to yes and be closed if any individual serves any time in a federal, state or local U.S jail or prison, and the cause of that incarceration is attributed to information contained in the Epstein files released by the federal government on or after February 25, 2026 up until December 31, 2026 at 11:59pm UTC. A qualifying incarceration must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files. The cause of incarceration may be established through official charging documents, court rulings, sentencing statements, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the information to the official Epstein files. The NO side will be paid if the market makes it to expiry on December 31, 2026 at 11:59pm UTC without meeting the criteria for resolving this market.