live HIVE market

Who will win the Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Pool
6.000 HIVE pool
Bettors
3 bettors
Closes in
393d 3h
50%

of the pool backs Nithya Raman

Nithya Raman50% Karen Bass50%
Fixed 0–100% axis · dashed line marks even odds · 5 snapshots · times UTC

Outcomes

Payout per 1 HIVE
  • Nithya Raman 50%
    3.000 HIVE staked
  • Karen Bass 50%
    3.000 HIVE staked

Rules

Nithya Raman holds a narrow lead in trader consensus for the November 3 runoff, reflecting recent polling momentum that shows her ahead of incumbent Karen Bass among likely voters. A mid-September UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies survey found Raman at 39 percent to Bass’s 28 percent, with one-third of respondents still undecided. Bass’s elevated unfavorability ratings and voter dissatisfaction with city responses to homelessness, public safety, and the 2025 wildfires have weighed on her position, while Raman has consolidated support from younger voters and progressive constituencies. Mail ballots begin arriving in early October, leaving time for shifts among the large undecided bloc that includes many former Spencer Pratt primary supporters.

Betting closes
393d 3h
Target resolution
401d 12h
Resolution
manual
Creator
@memess
Min bettors
3
Stake cap
10000.000 HIVE
@beggars Karen Bass
2.000 HIVE
Sep 28, 2026, 01:42 UTC
@we-are-ai Nithya Raman
1.000 HIVE
Sep 27, 2026, 18:24 UTC
@memess Nithya Raman
1.000 HIVE
Sep 27, 2026, 16:41 UTC
@memess Karen Bass
1.000 HIVE
Sep 27, 2026, 16:40 UTC
@memess Nithya Raman
1.000 HIVE
Sep 27, 2026, 16:37 UTC

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