live HIVE market

Who will win the Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Pool: 11.500 HIVE pool
Bettors: 4 bettors
Closes in: 21d 17h

57%

of the pool backs Karen Bass

Nithya Raman43% Karen Bass57%

Fixed 0–100% axis · dashed line marks even odds · 9 snapshots · times UTC

Outcomes

Payout per 1 HIVE

Nithya Raman 43%

5.000 HIVE staked
Karen Bass 57%

6.500 HIVE staked

Rules

Nithya Raman holds a narrow lead in trader consensus for the November 3 runoff, reflecting recent polling momentum that shows her ahead of incumbent Karen Bass among likely voters. A mid-September UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies survey found Raman at 39 percent to Bass’s 28 percent, with one-third of respondents still undecided. Bass’s elevated unfavorability ratings and voter dissatisfaction with city responses to homelessness, public safety, and the 2025 wildfires have weighed on her position, while Raman has consolidated support from younger voters and progressive constituencies. Mail ballots begin arriving in early October, leaving time for shifts among the large undecided bloc that includes many former Spencer Pratt primary supporters.

Betting closes: 21d 17h
Target resolution: 28d 17h
Resolution: manual
Creator: @memess
Min bettors: 3
Stake cap: 10000.000 HIVE