Politics prediction markets
Elections, referendums, leadership spills. Politics markets pool stakes on outcomes that get decided in public, and resolve with published evidence anyone can check.
These markets resolve manually: the creator and community submit proof with sources, users vote on it, and the resolution is broadcast on-chain with the evidence attached. If an outcome cannot be established fairly, the market voids and everyone is refunded in full.
Open Politics markets
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Politics
live
Who will win the Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Nithya Raman
43%
Karen Bass
57%
12 HIVE
4 predictors
20d 3h
Politics
live
Will senator Marcel van Hattem be elected president of the Brazilian Senate in 2027?
Yes
50%
No
50%
4 HIVE
3 predictors
112d 5h
Politics
live
Will Marine Le Pen be elected President of France in the 2027 presidential election?
Yes
50%
No
50%
8 HIVE
3 predictors
171d 18h
Politics
live
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be elected President of France in the 2027 presidential election?
Yes
50%
No
50%
6 HIVE
4 predictors
171d 18h
Politics
live
Will Édouard Philippe be elected President of France in the 2027 presidential election?
Yes
55%
No
45%
11 HIVE
3 predictors
171d 18h
Politics
live
Will Brazilian supreme court justice Alexandre de Moraes be impeached before the end of 2027?
Yes
61%
No
39%
Yes down 24 pts today
18 HIVE
4 predictors
446d 5h
Politics
live
Will Donald Trump be out of office before the end of his term?
Yes
33%
No
67%
Yes down 7 pts today
6 HIVE
4 predictors
756d 5h